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CHAP Stock Has Surged Nearly 300% in 13 Months

11/19/2006

The shares of Chaparral Steel Company (ticker: CHAP) rose 7.2% on Friday, pushing its gain to 293.4% since our buy signal for the company was issued thirteen months ago. Chaparral Steel is part of our Primary Stock Portfolio.

Hudson Highland Group Inc. (HHGP) was the most volatile stock since our last report. The provider of permanent recruitment, contract professionals and talent management services saw its stock rise 58.7% over the last four weeks.

Our Top Gainers Over the Last Four Weeks:

Company, Ticker & Portfolio Link
Change

Hudson Highland Group Inc. (HHGP)
+58.66%
US Airways (LCC) Apr thru Jul, Nov
+29.47%
Treehouse Foods Inc. (THS)
+25.40%
Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP)
+20.12%
WR Grace & Co. (GRA)
+19.86%
Kaman Corp. (KAMN) Feb & Mar
+17.12%
Broadwing (BWNG) Feb, Mar, May
+13.56%
Commercial Metals Co. (CMC)
+11.74%
Servicemaster Co. (SVM)
+10.89%
Chaparral Steel Company (CHAP)
+10.74%
ADESA Inc. (KAR)
+10.67%
dELiA*s, Inc. (DLIA)
+10.60%
Oppenheimer (OPY) Oct & Nov
+10.30%
Andersons Inc. (ANDE)
+10.11%
ACCO Brands Corporation (ABD)
+9.73%
Ameriprise Financial Inc. (AMP)
+9.60%
Moneygram International Inc. (MGI)
+9.30%
AMERCO (UHAL) Jan & Jul
+8.75%
Dover Downs Gaming & Ent. (DDE)
+8.54%
Advanced Semic. Engineering (ASX)
+8.24%
International Game Technology (IGT)
+7.31%
Sysco Corp. (SYY)
+7.06%
Claire's Stores Inc. (CLE)
+6.84%
Altria Group Inc. (MO) Hi-Div & Bear
+6.76%
Rural Cellular (RCCC) Mar & May
+6.73%
RPM International Inc. (RPM)
+6.63%
US LEC (CLEC) Aug, Sep, Oct, Nov
+6.46%
Safety Insurance (SAFT)
+6.25%
Ruddick Corp. (RDK)
+6.18%
St. Paul Travelers (STA)
+6.17%
Diageo plc (DEO)
+6.11%
Vanguard Energy (VGENX)
+5.90%
Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE)
+5.78%


S&P 500 Last Four Weeks:
2.6%

***

Our Leading Gainers Since Date of Recommendation:

Company & Ticker
Change*

Chaparral Steel Company (CHAP)
+293.4%
Altria (MO) (Hi-Div & Bear)
+226.3%
Gamestop Corp. (GME)
+154.5%
AEP Industries Inc. (AEPI)
+140.4%
NewMarket Corp. (NEU)
+128.1%
Freescale Semiconductor Inc. (FSL)
+127.5%
Vanguard-Global Equity (VHGEX)
+120.6%
LSI Industries (LYTS)
+119.9%
Oakmark Global (OAKGX)
+117.4%
Ruddick (RDK)
+113.5%
Vanguard Energy (VGENX)
+108.0%
Andersons Inc. (ANDE)
+94.4%
Eaton Vance Corp. (EV)
+89.1%
MoneyGram Int'l (MGI)
+88.4%
RPM International (RPM)
+83.8%
Genesis Healthcare (GHCI)
+83.2%
US LEC Corp. (CLEC)
+78.7%
MEMC Electronic Materials Inc. (WFR)
+76.3%
Jack Henry & Associates Inc. (JKHY)
+70.4%
Kaydon Corp. (KDN)
+63.7%
Eagle Materials Inc (EXP)
+60.2%
Broadwing Corporation (BWNG)
+58.8%
T. Rowe Price Blue Chip Grwth (TRBCX)
+50.5%

*Including dividends

The list above now includes Cornerstone stocks that appeared in the top 10 positions of screens from the past 12 months.

***

Cornerstone Stocks in Positions 1-10

The following Cornerstone results are real-time returns (not back-tested returns) and are updated through Friday's market close.

Stocks in the top ten positions of the screen tend to perform better than the other forty stocks. Since the stocks are ranked by relative price strength, the reason for this superior performance is price momentum. Thus far, buying the stocks in the top 10 positions of each month's Cornerstone Growth Stock Screen has resulted in a return of 15.8% per year vs 12.3% for the S&P 500. This methodology assumes a holding period of one year.

Cornerstone Stocks in Positions 4-10

Stocks in the 1, 2, and 3 positions have often risen so much that they have a tendency to cool off. Therefore we track a strategy that avoids these three stocks. Buying the stocks in the 4-10 positions and holding for only a month has resulted in a return of 27.2% per year.

Cornerstone Stocks in Positions 4-6

Buying the stocks in the 4, 5, & 6 positions and holding for only a month has resulted in a return of 30.8% per year.

***

Mutual Funds

Our "One-Stop Shopping" fund portfolio is up 119.1% (24.8% per year) since inception in May 2003 versus 12.4% per year for the S&P 500. The Highly-Rated No-Load Fund Portfolio has risen 95.1% (20.7% per year) over the same time frame.

***

Options

Currently there are no recommended options. We are very selective in the options we recommend (due to their high risk) and we will wait for the right opportunity to present itself. Experienced option investors who aren't so patient may want to consider buying options on the Double Allocation stocks of the Short Term Portfolio and/or the Cornerstone stocks.

The average option in our Option Portfolio has risen 51.8% with the average holding period being 7 months. Annualized, that's a return of 103.6% per year.

***

As usual, remember to diversify and invest for the long run. Even the Short-Term Portfolio should be used as part of a long-term strategy in an effort to stay fully invested. Attempting to time the market turns investing into gambling.

 

-Rex M. Jacobsen
Sr. Editor

 




 

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